Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#117
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#138
Pace75.6#43
Improvement+4.4#28

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#117
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+5.4#11

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.0#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 107   @ Colorado L 51-66 35%     0 - 1 -7.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 13, 2017 148   UC Davis L 59-72 70%     0 - 2 -15.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2017 269   @ Pepperdine W 84-82 74%     1 - 2 -1.3 -1.6 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2017 326   Youngstown St. W 80-67 90%     2 - 2 +2.3 -5.3 -5.3
  Nov 25, 2017 74   South Dakota W 63-62 35%     3 - 2 +8.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 26, 2017 229   Southern Miss W 77-63 76%     4 - 2 +10.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 29, 2017 148   @ UC Davis L 51-56 48%     4 - 3 -0.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Dec 13, 2017 203   Denver W 83-63 80%     5 - 3 +14.5 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 19, 2017 119   @ Wyoming W 91-84 39%     6 - 3 +13.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Dec 22, 2017 112   @ UNLV L 91-94 36%     6 - 4 +4.1 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 29, 2017 140   Eastern Washington W 88-75 69%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +11.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 31, 2017 141   Idaho W 81-77 69%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +2.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 04, 2018 274   @ Montana St. L 64-76 75%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -15.6 -1.8 -1.8
  Jan 06, 2018 83   @ Montana L 80-89 28%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +0.5 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 11, 2018 167   Weber St. L 74-78 73%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -6.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 13, 2018 240   Idaho St. W 94-80 85%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +6.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 20, 2018 247   North Dakota W 94-91 OT 86%     10 - 7 4 - 3 -5.1 -4.1 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2018 141   @ Idaho W 80-63 46%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +21.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Jan 27, 2018 140   @ Eastern Washington L 65-67 46%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +2.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 01, 2018 83   Montana L 79-88 50%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -5.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 03, 2018 274   Montana St. W 86-63 89%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +13.3 -4.8 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2018 240   @ Idaho St. W 85-82 69%     13 - 9 7 - 5 +1.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Feb 10, 2018 167   @ Weber St. L 66-71 OT 51%     13 - 10 7 - 6 -1.8 +1.6 +1.6
  Feb 15, 2018 330   Northern Arizona W 95-60 95%     14 - 10 8 - 6 +20.2 -7.4 -7.4
  Feb 17, 2018 267   Southern Utah W 97-80 88%     15 - 10 9 - 6 +7.7 -4.6 -4.6
  Feb 24, 2018 247   @ North Dakota W 79-66 70%     16 - 10 10 - 6 +10.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Mar 01, 2018 171   @ Portland St. W 85-78 53%     17 - 10 11 - 6 +9.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Mar 03, 2018 290   @ Sacramento St. L 77-88 78%     17 - 11 11 - 7 -15.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Mar 06, 2018 330   Northern Arizona W 82-59 91%     18 - 11 +11.2 -5.9 -5.9
  Mar 08, 2018 167   Weber St. W 80-55 62%     19 - 11 +25.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Mar 09, 2018 83   Montana L 89-91 OT 38%     19 - 12 +4.5 +3.2 +3.2
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%